Fire Crux MageTier 1
at PTM 店家冠軍賽 貓腳印-高雄店
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
8-4-2
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.8%
avg ELO +1.6 per match
expected value
56.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1379
· median 1379
· range 1350–1408
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1096
Q1 1167
Q3 1313
1408
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.0% | +2.2 |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 35.7% | -10.7 |
| Fire Genbu | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +3.9 |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.8% | -6.9 |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
