Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at PTM 店家冠軍賽 貓腳印-高雄店
decks
3
(15.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
6-9-2
overall winrate
41.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.3%
avg ELO -3.1 per match
expected value
47.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1225
· median 1174
· range 1128–1373
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1096
Q1 1167
Q3 1313
1408
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.6% | -7.7 |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.8% | -16.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.7% | +23.6 |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +6.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -2.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.4% | -5.4 |
| Wind Exia Jin | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.4 |
