Fire OblationTier 2
at PTM 店家冠軍賽 貓腳印-高雄店
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-7-0
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.3%
avg ELO -2.4 per match
expected value
49.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1261
· median 1261
· range 1242–1281
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1096
Q1 1167
Q3 1313
1408
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 60.4% | +7.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.0% | -2.2 |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Fire Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.1% | -25.4 |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Wind Arcane | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
