← 淡水 貓腳印 PTM 店家冠軍賽

Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at 淡水 貓腳印 PTM 店家冠軍賽

decks
3 (14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 6-5-1
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2% avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
49.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1306 · median 1302 · range 1297–1320 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1128 Q1 1245 Q3 1369 1539
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.5% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 36.9% -9.8
Fire Exia 9.5% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 9.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.6% -19.8
Wind Crux Lorraine 9.5% 0
Arcane 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.4% +13.4
Fire Arcane 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.6% +13.8
Fire Crux Merlin 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.4% +15.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.8% 0
Fire Umbra Alice 4.8% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 63.7% +22.0
Water Fractal 4.8% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 48.1% -1.9
Wind Allies 4.8% 0
Wind Neos 4.8% 0
Wind Seiryuu 4.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.4% -2.5
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Orb of Sealing +1.00 1 0 0
Calming Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Ravaging Tempest -1.00 0 1 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Humpty Dumpty, Fate's Fall -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Spellshield: Astra +1.00 1 0 0
Extortion Scheme -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Harvest Herbs +1.00 1 0 0
Chalice of Blood -1.00 0 1 0
Lunar Seer -1.00 0 1 0
Regenerate +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Nascent Barrier -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/42019/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric