Wind NeosTier 2
at 淡水 貓腳印 PTM 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.1%
avg ELO -5.7 per match
expected value
36.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1128
· median 1128
· range 1128–1128
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1128
Q1 1245
Q3 1369
1539
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 9.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.6% | -6.1 |
| Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.6 |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -7.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
