Water AetherwingTier 2
at PI GA SC
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.3%
avg ELO -2.7 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1303
· median 1303
· range 1303–1303
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1209
Q3 1444
1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -9.0 |
| Water Genbu | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +10.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
