← SGCCC Phantom Monarchs season Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at SGCCC Phantom Monarchs season Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Exia 1 5.6% 7 78.6% 60.2% 57.7% 54.9% 1296 ↑ top
2 Wind Seiryuu 2 11.1% 11 63.6% 59.2% 52.3% 52.4% 1263
3 Fire Crux Lorraine 2 11.1% 9 55.6% 50.3% 51.1% 49.2% 1278
4 Fire Luxem Assassin 2 11.1% 10 50.0% 50.2% 50.9% 51.3% 1302 ↑ top
5 Fire Aggro 2 11.1% 8 56.2% 62.6% 50.7% 54.8% 1211 ↓ low
6 Fire Aetherwing 2 11.1% 10 55.0% 55.4% 50.0% 51.3% 1248
7 Water Fractal 2 11.1% 9 50.0% 36.2% 50.0% 44.7% 1408 ↑ top
8 Fire Suzaku 1 5.6% 4 50.0% 52.6% 46.7% 48.3% 1322 ↑ top
9 Fire Crux Mage 1 5.6% 4 25.0% 43.7% 45.7% 47.9% 1181 ↓ low
10 Wind Allies 1 5.6% 4 25.0% 43.2% 43.3% 46.0% 1022 ↓ low
11 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 5.6% 4 25.0% 46.9% 42.9% 46.8% 1183 ↓ low
12 Wind Shadowstrike 1 5.6% 4 0.0% 25.7% 36.7% 37.5% 1154 ↓ low