← Hans Arena Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Hans Arena Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 9.1% | 10 | 90.0% | 77.2% | 61.1% | 61.2% | 1313 | — |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 18.2% | 19 | 63.2% | 55.1% | 57.0% | 53.4% | 1427 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 46.0% | 54.1% | 51.7% | 1442 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 49.8% | 54.0% | 49.6% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 70.0% | 70.6% | 52.1% | 57.4% | 1232 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 4.5% | 6 | 66.7% | 42.7% | 51.1% | 43.7% | 1571 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 9.1% | 8 | 62.5% | 58.6% | 50.7% | 51.2% | 1329 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 4.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 39.1% | 45.0% | 42.8% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 48.2% | 44.4% | 46.4% | 1466 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 48.2% | 44.4% | 46.4% | 1466 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Neos | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 10.0% | 37.6% | 41.2% | 45.1% | 1047 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Seiryuu | 4 | 18.2% | 16 | 31.2% | 38.9% | 40.5% | 43.1% | 1303 | — |
| 13 | Arcane | 1 | 4.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.0% | 42.2% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 4.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 39.1% | 40.0% | 43.0% | 1298 | — |
| 15 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 4.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 42.2% | 40.0% | 46.2% | 1208 | ↓ low |