Card Nation Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	6	19.4%	10-7-0	58.8%	50.6%	51.7%	49.1%	1404	↑ top
2		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	4	12.9%	1-8-1	15.0%	37.5%	37.3%	44.4%	1212	↓ low
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	9.7%	10-6-0	62.5%	55.0%	53.3%	52.3%	1335	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	9.7%	7-4-0	63.6%	56.3%	57.2%	54.9%	1295	—
5		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	6.5%	9-1-0	90.0%	75.3%	60.7%	60.2%	1394	↑ top
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	6.5%	3-5-1	38.9%	31.3%	46.8%	43.2%	1398	↑ top
7		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	3.2%	0-2-0	0.0%	36.6%	40.0%	41.2%	1227	↓ low
8		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.2%	3-2-0	60.0%	58.8%	53.0%	54.5%	1434	↑ top
9		Fire Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	3.2%	0-2-0	0.0%	42.2%	40.0%	45.8%	1113	↓ low
10		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	49.8%	43.3%	49.5%	1277	↓ low
11		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-2-0	33.3%	32.9%	37.1%	31.9%	1488	↑ top
12		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	3.2%	0-1-0	0.0%	37.7%	40.0%	37.7%	1460	↑ top
13		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	3.2%	3-2-0	60.0%	50.9%	53.3%	51.6%	1442	↑ top
14		Water Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	3.2%	2-3-0	40.0%	50.0%	47.3%	51.1%	1267	↓ low
15		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.2%	1-3-1	30.0%	49.4%	48.3%	51.9%	1113	↓ low
16		Wind Chess	Tier 2	1	3.2%	0-3-0	0.0%	44.2%	40.0%	47.1%	1107	↓ low
17		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	3.2%	3-1-1	70.0%	50.7%	54.2%	49.2%	1423	↑ top
18		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	3.2%	3-2-0	60.0%	63.3%	50.0%	52.9%	1326	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Oblation 6 decks · 19.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 4 decks · 12.9%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 9.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 9.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 6.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 6.5%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 3.2%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 3.2%
• Fire Slice & Dice 1 deck · 3.2%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 3.2%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 3.2%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 3.2%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 3.2%
• Water Umbra Alice 1 deck · 3.2%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 3.2%
• Wind Chess 1 deck · 3.2%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 3.2%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 3.2%