← Card Nation Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Card Nation Store Championship
decks
3
(9.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
7-4-0
overall winrate
63.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.3%
avg ELO +2.7 per match
expected value
57.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1295
· median 1346
· range 1182–1356
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1107
Q1 1264
Q3 1424
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 19.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.2% | +11.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.0% | -4.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.3% | -5.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
| Fire Slice & Dice | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.4% | +23.1 |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
