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Fire SuzakuTier 2

at Card Nation Store Championship

decks
1 (3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3 1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.9% avg ELO -12.7 per match
expected value
37.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
31.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1488 · median 1488 · range 1488–1488 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1107 Q1 1264 Q3 1424 1584
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Oblation 19.4% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 28.6% -20.6
Fire Umbra Guardian 12.9% 0
Fire Aggro 9.7% 0
Fire Crux Mage 9.7% 0
Wind Seiryuu 6.5% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 6.5% 0
Fire Aetherwing 3.2% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 3.2% 0
Fire Slice & Dice 3.2% 0
Fire Suited 3.2% 0
Horse and Taxes 3.2% 0
Water Fractal 3.2% 0
Water Umbra Alice 3.2% 0
Wind Arcane 3.2% 0
Wind Chess 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.9% +3.0
Wind Razorgale 3.2% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.2% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/42128/archetypes/Fire Suzaku