← Webway PTM Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Webway PTM Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 1 | 4.5% | 7 | 78.6% | 60.7% | 57.1% | 53.9% | 1541 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Penguin Mill | 1 | 4.5% | 6 | 75.0% | 68.9% | 55.7% | 57.2% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 4.5% | 7 | 71.4% | 44.3% | 55.7% | 48.6% | 1624 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 4.5% | 6 | 66.7% | 64.7% | 55.0% | 55.4% | 1432 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 70.0% | 62.4% | 55.0% | 55.1% | 1327 | — |
| 6 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.9% | 52.0% | 52.9% | 1311 | — |
| 7 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 44.3% | 51.7% | 48.5% | 1349 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 61.8% | 51.4% | 53.9% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 50.0% | 56.3% | 51.4% | 53.2% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 9.1% | 9 | 50.0% | 45.3% | 51.1% | 49.0% | 1269 | — |
| 11 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 4.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 39.6% | 50.0% | 47.9% | 1305 | — |
| 12 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 9.1% | 9 | 50.0% | 47.0% | 49.0% | 48.0% | 1245 | — |
| 13 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 9.1% | 8 | 37.5% | 48.8% | 48.0% | 50.6% | 1171 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Tera Cleric | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 39.8% | 46.7% | 45.5% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 51.0% | 46.7% | 48.6% | 1235 | — |
| 16 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 45.6% | 45.7% | 47.4% | 1217 | — |
| 17 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 20.0% | 39.9% | 44.0% | 46.4% | 1145 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Arcane | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 0.0% | 30.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | 1109 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Zander | 1 | 4.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 39.1% | 40.0% | 44.8% | 1100 | ↓ low |