EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at ストアチャンピオンシップ in HASUYA.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 12.5% | 12 | 79.2% | 66.6% | 59.6% | 57.6% | 1393 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Fractal | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 62.9% | 55.6% | 57.3% | 1327 | — |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 55.7% | 52.5% | 50.7% | 1241 | — |
| 4 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.2% | 7 | 71.4% | 51.9% | 52.2% | 48.4% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 59.0% | 52.0% | 55.1% | 1099 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 35.5% | 50.0% | 44.2% | 1463 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Merlin | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 50.0% | 36.9% | 48.3% | 43.6% | 1412 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 55.7% | 48.3% | 52.9% | 1303 | — |
| 9 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 42.4% | 46.7% | 48.4% | 1377 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Allies | 2 | 12.5% | 6 | 33.3% | 45.6% | 45.7% | 47.7% | 1092 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 54.7% | 45.3% | 50.4% | 1316 | — |
| 12 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 48.0% | 45.0% | 49.2% | 1077 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 37.7% | 44.0% | 43.8% | 1248 | — |
| 14 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 26.8% | 40.0% | 40.3% | 1134 | ↓ low |