← [TCG Collector] Phantom Monarchs Store Champs

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at [TCG Collector] Phantom Monarchs Store Champs. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Shadowstrike 1 6.2% 6 91.7% 69.4% 60.6% 57.5% 1317 ↑ top
2 Wind Wakeup Combo 1 6.2% 5 60.0% 50.9% 54.7% 52.0% 1381 ↑ top
3 Slimes 1 6.2% 6 66.7% 55.6% 54.3% 53.2% 1368 ↑ top
4 Wind Seiryuu 2 12.5% 9 55.6% 51.9% 52.4% 51.7% 1216
5 Wind Umbra Ranger 2 12.5% 8 62.5% 58.8% 51.1% 51.3% 1317 ↑ top
6 Fire Ravishing Mill 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 52.7% 50.0% 51.1% 1151 ↓ low
7 Fire Aetherwing 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 53.1% 48.0% 49.1% 1173 ↓ low
8 Water Crux Mage 1 6.2% 4 25.0% 45.1% 48.0% 50.8% 1074 ↓ low
9 Fire Crux Mage 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 54.3% 46.7% 49.0% 1158 ↓ low
10 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 52.1% 46.7% 48.2% 1408 ↑ top
11 Horse and Taxes 1 6.2% 3 33.3% 40.2% 45.0% 44.3% 1454 ↑ top
12 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 6.2% 3 16.7% 39.5% 45.0% 45.8% 1122 ↓ low
13 Water Astra Ranger 1 6.2% 4 25.0% 37.2% 45.0% 44.9% 1298
14 Fire Umbra Alice 1 6.2% 4 0.0% 24.5% 40.0% 40.3% 1188 ↓ low