← PTM Store Champs @ Lower Hutt
Fire ExiaTier 1
at PTM Store Champs @ Lower Hutt
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-0-2
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.6%
avg ELO +9.5 per match
expected value
55.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1347
· median 1347
· range 1347–1347
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
918
Q1 1092
Q3 1281
1575
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +4.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Wind Silvie | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
