← PTM Store Champs @ Lower Hutt
Fire Tera MageTier 2
at PTM Store Champs @ Lower Hutt
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-3-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 921
· median 921
· range 921–921
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
918
Q1 1092
Q3 1281
1575
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
