← PTM Regionals @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at PTM Regionals @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
decks
2
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
7-3-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.8%
avg ELO +4.2 per match
expected value
54.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1262
· median 1262
· range 1232–1291
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
918
Q1 1199
Q3 1350
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.3% | +10.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Exia | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Fire Merlin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +8.9 |
| Fire Vanitas | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.7 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
