PTM Regionals @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	5.6%	9-2-1	79.2%	59.6%	55.0%	51.5%	1470	↑ top
2		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	2	5.6%	8-4-0	66.7%	67.9%	55.2%	57.1%	1302	—
3		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	5.6%	4-6-2	41.7%	51.7%	47.6%	50.5%	1172	↓ low
4		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	5.6%	4-7-0	36.4%	43.6%	45.5%	47.3%	1241	—
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	5.6%	6-4-0	60.0%	53.8%	52.7%	51.1%	1380	↑ top
6		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	2	5.6%	4-6-2	41.7%	47.8%	48.7%	49.7%	1149	↓ low
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	5.6%	7-3-2	66.7%	59.8%	54.4%	53.4%	1262	—
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	5.6%	6-5-1	54.2%	48.1%	50.2%	48.4%	1276	—
9		Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	45.3%	46.0%	48.0%	1347	↑ top
10		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	54.5%	48.0%	49.7%	1252	—
11		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-2-4	42.9%	49.2%	49.1%	50.3%	1058	↓ low
12		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	36.9%	46.7%	45.8%	1254	—
13		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-2-2	50.0%	51.8%	51.0%	51.7%	1169	↓ low
14		Fire Merlin	Tier 2	1	2.8%	4-1-1	75.0%	56.9%	54.0%	52.0%	1458	↑ top
15		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-2	42.9%	51.0%	48.9%	50.5%	1113	↓ low
16		Fire Vanitas	Tier 2	1	2.8%	0-7-0	0.0%	35.2%	38.3%	44.2%	918	↓ low
17		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-3-2	33.3%	52.1%	45.7%	49.9%	1013	↓ low
18		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.8%	4-1-1	75.0%	55.2%	54.4%	51.8%	1575	↑ top
19		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	49.7%	50.0%	50.5%	1354	↑ top
20		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-1-3	64.3%	45.0%	51.0%	46.7%	1427	↑ top
21		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-1	41.7%	46.7%	48.8%	49.0%	1212	—
22		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-2-2	50.0%	49.8%	47.5%	47.6%	1213	—
23		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	36.6%	47.5%	46.4%	1244	—
24		Wind Diana	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-2	42.9%	48.9%	46.7%	47.7%	1225	—
25		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-5-0	28.6%	32.8%	44.4%	43.5%	1282	—
26		Wind Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-1-3	58.3%	53.8%	51.7%	51.3%	1211	—
27		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	33.6%	48.9%	44.8%	1297	—
28		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-1-3	58.3%	53.8%	51.7%	51.3%	1211	—
29		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.8%	4-2-0	66.7%	61.6%	54.0%	54.1%	1423	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 5.6%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Lorraine 2 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 5.6%
• Arcane 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Merlin 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Vanitas 1 deck · 2.8%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Diana 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.8%