← Grand Archive TCG - PTM Store Championship @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG - PTM Store Championship @ Evergreen Games Shoppe.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 71.4% | 56.9% | 57.9% | 54.3% | 1349 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Fractal | 1 | 4.2% | 8 | 75.0% | 63.1% | 55.2% | 54.0% | 1327 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 8.3% | 13 | 69.2% | 58.8% | 54.4% | 52.4% | 1316 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 58.7% | 52.5% | 52.3% | 1339 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Suited | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 58.3% | 58.4% | 52.2% | 53.0% | 1192 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 64.3% | 56.3% | 52.2% | 51.3% | 1449 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 8.3% | 11 | 54.5% | 56.8% | 51.9% | 53.2% | 1292 | — |
| 8 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.8% | 51.7% | 51.9% | 1225 | — |
| 9 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.8% | 51.7% | 51.9% | 1225 | — |
| 10 | Slimes | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 50.0% | 52.8% | 51.3% | 52.3% | 1204 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 58.3% | 47.3% | 51.2% | 48.8% | 1323 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 45.4% | 48.6% | 48.4% | 1480 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 41.7% | 41.6% | 48.6% | 47.2% | 1226 | — |
| 14 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 40.0% | 48.1% | 48.5% | 49.5% | 1264 | — |
| 15 | Fire Exia | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 33.3% | 41.8% | 47.5% | 48.1% | 1188 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.3% | 46.7% | 48.4% | 1169 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 35.0% | 41.3% | 45.7% | 46.5% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.7% | 45.0% | 46.7% | 1179 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 20.0% | 36.2% | 44.0% | 45.0% | 1133 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Tera Silvie | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 20.0% | 36.4% | 43.3% | 44.2% | 1138 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 27.3% | 40.0% | 40.5% | 1137 | ↓ low |