Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at 貓腳印三民店 Store Champion
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-4-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
49.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1303
· median 1303
· range 1215–1392
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1115
Q1 1221
Q3 1382
1410
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 14.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 29.7% | -19.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 14.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.5% | +8.9 |
| Water Fractal | 14.3% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 66.1% | +12.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.5% | -8.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
