Fire Crux MageTier 1
at 貓腳印三民店 Store Champion
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-1-2
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.4%
avg ELO +2.7 per match
expected value
55.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1408
· median 1408
· range 1408–1408
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1115
Q1 1221
Q3 1382
1410
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 14.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.7% | +6.5 |
| Water Fractal | 14.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Wind Exia Jin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.4% | -23.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
