← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-3-1
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1295
· median 1295
· range 1097–1492
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1097
Q1 1191
Q3 1420
1685
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.4 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 5.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.5% | +13.0 |
| Wind Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.9% | -6.8 |
