← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
Water AetherwingTier 1
at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.5%
avg ELO +3.1 per match
expected value
55.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1451
· median 1451
· range 1217–1685
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1097
Q1 1191
Q3 1420
1685
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 11.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.0% | +1.5 |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +9.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
