Cardboard Crack Games PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Suited	Tier 1	3	18.8%	5-3-1	61.1%	55.9%	50.7%	50.1%	1289	—
2		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	18.8%	5-2-0	71.4%	57.5%	54.6%	53.1%	1376	↑ top
3		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	2	12.5%	3-3-0	50.0%	48.2%	53.3%	51.3%	1261	—
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	12.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	49.2%	46.2%	48.6%	1154	↓ low
5		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	1	6.2%	2-1-0	66.7%	60.1%	50.7%	53.8%	1223	—
6		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	6.2%	1-2-0	33.3%	44.8%	40.0%	42.0%	1182	↓ low
7		Water Chess	Tier 2	1	6.2%	0-3-0	0.0%	34.7%	40.0%	42.2%	1155	↓ low
8		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	6.2%	1-1-0	50.0%	40.7%	45.0%	40.4%	1460	↑ top
9		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	6.2%	2-1-0	66.7%	56.8%	51.4%	52.3%	1292	—
10		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	6.2%	0-2-1	16.7%	42.3%	43.3%	47.4%	1161	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Suited 3 decks · 18.8%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 18.8%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 6.2%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 6.2%
• Water Chess 1 deck · 6.2%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 6.2%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 6.2%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 6.2%