Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at SBT Store Championship
decks
1
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-1-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
68.1%
avg ELO +10.4 per match
expected value
54.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1308
· median 1308
· range 1308–1308
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1103
Q1 1221
Q3 1382
1538
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.8% | +9.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.9% | +22.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
