Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at SBT Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 68.9% | +10.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.0% | -3.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.7% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 46.9% | -2.0 |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 53.5% | +2.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.4% | -4.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.9 |
| Water Allies | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Wind Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 7 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 7 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Sealing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |