Fire AetherwingTier 1
at 暖角落 GA 店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.4% | +15.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Water Fractal | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 7.4% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Wind Byakko | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.4% | +15.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 12 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 12 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evasive Positioning | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aetheric Reforging | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Overlapping Visages | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manabolt Convergence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Infernal Vessel | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Piercing Aetherfuel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reposition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Singeing Leap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |