Fire SlimesTier 1
at Msgitek Store Champ
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.5%
avg ELO +4.9 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1356
· median 1356
· range 1356–1356
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1097
Q1 1269
Q3 1507
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.3% | -12.2 |
| Water Genbu | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.0% | +22.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
