← Phantom Monarch Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Phantom Monarch Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.6%
avg ELO -6.0 per match
expected value
42.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1250
· median 1250
· range 1250–1250
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1053
Q1 1149
Q3 1444
1632
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 27.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.8% | -14.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Water Umbra Alice | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
