Phantom Monarch Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	27.3%	8-3-1	70.8%	62.0%	54.5%	54.5%	1349	—
2		Horse and Taxes	Tier 1	2	18.2%	4-0-1	90.0%	53.4%	62.6%	51.7%	1620	↑ top
3		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	48.3%	40.0%	44.9%	1124	↓ low
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-1	37.5%	40.6%	42.0%	41.5%	1250	—
5		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	50.3%	40.0%	48.2%	1053	↓ low
6		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	9.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	54.2%	48.3%	51.6%	1451	↑ top
7		Slimes	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-2-1	16.7%	45.6%	41.7%	46.2%	1175	↓ low
8		Water Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	30.0%	40.0%	40.7%	1095	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 27.3%
• Horse and Taxes 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 9.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Umbra Alice 1 deck · 9.1%