← Phantom Monarch Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Phantom Monarch Store Championship
decks
3
(27.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
8-3-1
overall winrate
70.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.0%
avg ELO +5.1 per match
expected value
54.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1349
· median 1315
· range 1296–1436
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1053
Q1 1149
Q3 1444
1632
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horse and Taxes | 18.2% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 48.3% | -1.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.0% | +9.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.2% | +14.6 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.2% | +5.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -2.9 |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Water Umbra Alice | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
