← 0111 Phantom Monarchs Store Championships
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at 0111 Phantom Monarchs Store Championships
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 24.1% | 5 | 3-0-2 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 59.4% | +5.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.9% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 48.3% | -1.1 |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.8 |
| Fire Suited | 3.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.8% | +8.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Slimes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.4% | +8.0 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Royal Oathguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |