← Storm Gate PTM Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Storm Gate PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-4-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.3%
avg ELO -7.1 per match
expected value
50.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1488
· median 1488
· range 1463–1513
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1147
Q1 1288
Q3 1428
1571
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.5% | +2.3 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 38.3% | -8.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 38.3% | -11.3 |
| Wind Arcane | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
