Xepher Arcade Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	20.0%	4-4-0	50.0%	58.7%	50.5%	53.7%	1215	—
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	20.0%	3-1-2	66.7%	56.5%	53.3%	51.5%	1291	—
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-1	62.5%	60.5%	53.3%	54.8%	1280	—
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	40.8%	44.0%	45.4%	1162	↓ low
5		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	39.1%	43.3%	43.9%	1176	↓ low
6		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-1	37.5%	43.6%	46.0%	46.2%	1187	↓ low
7		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	10.0%	1-1-2	50.0%	48.9%	50.0%	49.6%	1221	—
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	10.0%	3-1-0	75.0%	45.9%	54.7%	46.5%	1560	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 10.0%