← Skupi sve - Store Championship
Fire Astra ArisannaTier 2
at Skupi sve - Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-3-2
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
25.5%
avg ELO -14.1 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1144
· median 1144
· range 1144–1144
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1144
Q1 1195
Q3 1279
1336
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Wind Byakko | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Astra Arisanna decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
