← Skupi sve - Store Championship

Wind Umbra AliceTier 1

at Skupi sve - Store Championship

decks
1 (8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.3% avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
52.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1264 · median 1264 · range 1264–1264 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1144 Q1 1195 Q3 1279 1336
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 16.7% 0
Fire Astra Arisanna 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.1% +12.9
Fire Crux Mage 8.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.4% -13.7
Fire Exia 8.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.3
Water Fractal 8.3% 0
Water Umbra Ciel 8.3% 0
Wind Allies 8.3% 0
Wind Byakko 8.3% 0
Wind Neos 8.3% 0
Wind Seiryuu 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.6% +20.1
Wind Shadowstrike 8.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.1% -1.4
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Wind Umbra Alice decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/42999/archetypes/Wind Umbra Alice