← Skupi sve - Store Championship
Fire ExiaTier 1
at Skupi sve - Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.9%
avg ELO +4.8 per match
expected value
55.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1286
· median 1286
· range 1286–1286
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1144
Q1 1195
Q3 1279
1336
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.8% | -6.9 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
