← GA Middle East Weekly PTM #4
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly PTM #4
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-1-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
41.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1196
· median 1196
· range 1196–1196
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1111
Q1 1232
Q3 1329
1490
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 25.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
