GA Middle East Weekly PTM #4

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	3	25.0%	3-1-2	66.7%	50.7%	55.6%	50.4%	1302	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	16.7%	4-1-0	80.0%	51.1%	56.0%	50.4%	1407	↑ top
3		Arcane	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-1-2	33.3%	49.6%	43.8%	49.6%	1302	—
4		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-1-1	25.0%	49.5%	41.7%	49.5%	1196	↓ low
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	8.3%	2-1-1	62.5%	51.0%	50.0%	50.1%	1222	↓ low
6		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.3%	40.0%	49.0%	1235	↓ low
7		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.9%	40.0%	49.4%	1313	—
8		Water Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.3%	40.0%	49.0%	1235	↓ low
9		Wind Alice	Tier 1	1	8.3%	2-0-1	83.3%	51.2%	57.5%	50.7%	1313	—
10		Wind Ciel	Tier 1	1	8.3%	1-1-1	50.0%	49.8%	50.0%	49.9%	1276	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 25.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 16.7%
• Arcane 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Slice & Dice 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Alice 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Ciel 1 deck · 8.3%