← GA Middle East Weekly PTM #4
Water Crux AssassinTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly PTM #4
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-2-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1235
· median 1235
· range 1235–1235
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1111
Q1 1232
Q3 1329
1490
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.5 |
| Arcane | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
