← VPC Store Champ - PTM Season
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at VPC Store Champ - PTM Season.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 2 | 6.9% | 10 | 80.0% | 62.4% | 58.3% | 55.0% | 1483 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 3.4% | 6 | 83.3% | 58.5% | 57.1% | 53.2% | 1648 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.4% | 6 | 83.3% | 59.9% | 56.7% | 53.3% | 1498 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 80.0% | 64.6% | 55.0% | 54.6% | 1417 | — |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 3 | 10.3% | 13 | 65.4% | 59.2% | 54.6% | 54.0% | 1367 | — |
| 6 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 50.0% | 57.5% | 51.7% | 54.2% | 1356 | — |
| 7 | Arcane | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 48.1% | 51.1% | 52.2% | 1418 | — |
| 8 | Wind Crux Assassin | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 57.7% | 50.7% | 55.9% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 57.7% | 50.7% | 55.9% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 54.4% | 50.0% | 53.3% | 1192 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 60.0% | 41.3% | 50.0% | 45.6% | 1616 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 50.0% | 36.6% | 50.0% | 45.6% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 13 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 6.9% | 10 | 60.0% | 45.7% | 50.0% | 47.3% | 1464 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 6.9% | 10 | 50.0% | 57.1% | 49.6% | 51.9% | 1331 | — |
| 15 | Water Allies | 1 | 3.4% | 4 | 37.5% | 56.5% | 48.3% | 53.3% | 1201 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 43.0% | 47.6% | 47.1% | 1280 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 40.0% | 45.3% | 47.5% | 47.9% | 1311 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 60.0% | 65.8% | 47.5% | 51.8% | 1393 | — |
| 19 | Water Crux Merlin | 1 | 3.4% | 4 | 37.5% | 39.1% | 46.0% | 43.9% | 1343 | — |
| 20 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 6.9% | 8 | 31.2% | 38.6% | 43.7% | 44.2% | 1339 | — |
| 21 | Water Fractal | 2 | 6.9% | 11 | 18.2% | 24.1% | 42.4% | 42.2% | 1388 | — |
| 22 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 3.4% | 4 | 12.5% | 37.2% | 41.7% | 44.1% | 1257 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Wind Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 3.4% | 5 | 10.0% | 40.1% | 38.6% | 44.4% | 1042 | ↓ low |