Fire Crux MageTier 2
at 御三家店冠賽
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
1
0-1-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.4%
avg ELO -4.1 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1205
· median 1205
· range 1205–1205
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1087
Q1 1195
Q3 1328
1542
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
