Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1
at 御三家店冠賽
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.3%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1317
· median 1317
· range 1185–1449
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1087
Q1 1195
Q3 1328
1542
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Wind Byakko | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
