御三家店冠賽

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	15.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	48.5%	52.2%	51.2%	1288	—
2		Water Fractal	Tier 2	2	15.4%	0-4-0	0.0%	33.9%	37.3%	42.2%	1138	↓ low
3		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	2	15.4%	4-2-0	66.7%	54.3%	54.3%	51.6%	1317	—
4		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	7.7%	2-0-1	83.3%	63.1%	57.5%	57.1%	1275	—
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-1-0	0.0%	47.4%	40.0%	47.4%	1205	↓ low
6		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	1	7.7%	2-0-1	83.3%	57.9%	58.0%	54.7%	1329	↑ top
7		Horse and Taxes	Tier 1	1	7.7%	1-1-0	50.0%	54.8%	53.3%	56.1%	1195	↓ low
8		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-2-0	33.3%	45.2%	48.0%	48.2%	1302	—
9		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-1-1	50.0%	42.3%	47.5%	44.9%	1542	↑ top
10		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 1	1	7.7%	1-1-1	50.0%	53.8%	50.0%	51.0%	1243	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 15.4%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 15.4%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 7.7%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 7.7%