← TDK Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at TDK Phantom Monarchs Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 100.0% | 70.4% | 60.0% | 59.3% | 1251 | — |
| 2 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 100.0% | 58.7% | 60.0% | 54.1% | 1283 | — |
| 3 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 7.4% | 5 | 80.0% | 63.7% | 56.7% | 55.0% | 1457 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 59.0% | 55.0% | 55.4% | 1202 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.6% | 55.0% | 51.9% | 1294 | — |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 48.0% | 53.3% | 49.8% | 1516 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 57.3% | 53.3% | 53.4% | 1323 | — |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 7.4% | 6 | 50.0% | 42.5% | 52.7% | 49.6% | 1294 | — |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 11.1% | 9 | 55.6% | 50.2% | 52.1% | 50.7% | 1310 | — |
| 10 | Fire Aetherwing | 3 | 11.1% | 9 | 55.6% | 52.3% | 48.5% | 49.4% | 1411 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 11.1% | 8 | 43.8% | 45.8% | 47.9% | 48.3% | 1248 | — |
| 12 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 16.7% | 39.6% | 46.0% | 46.7% | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Astra Diana | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 51.5% | 45.0% | 50.1% | 1254 | — |
| 14 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.7% | 44.0% | 47.0% | 1187 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.4% | 44.0% | 48.7% | 1130 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 55.8% | 42.9% | 49.5% | 1101 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Slimes | 1 | 3.7% | 2 | 0.0% | 41.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | 1110 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 39.6% | 40.0% | 45.3% | 1028 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 3.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 24.5% | 40.0% | 38.1% | 1216 | ↓ low |