← Honors Ground PTM Store Championship 2026
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Honors Ground PTM Store Championship 2026
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.9%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1232
· median 1232
· range 1174–1289
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1107
Q1 1186
Q3 1331
1421
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 21.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.8 |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
