← Honors Ground PTM Store Championship 2026
Water AetherwingTier 1
at Honors Ground PTM Store Championship 2026
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.0%
avg ELO +7.1 per match
expected value
57.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1282
· median 1282
· range 1282–1282
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1107
Q1 1186
Q3 1331
1421
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 21.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Water Tera Mage | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
