Water Astra RangerTier 1
at Kayfabe Store Champs
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-1-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
68.9%
avg ELO +10.9 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1241
· median 1241
· range 1241–1241
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1004
Q1 1220
Q3 1436
1632
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.0% | +3.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.7% | +21.9 |
| Water Slimes | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
