Water Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Kayfabe Store Champs
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.5%
avg ELO -2.9 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1315
· median 1315
· range 1315–1315
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1004
Q1 1220
Q3 1436
1632
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.6% | -19.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.3% | -21.9 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.9% | +22.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
