← GA Middle East Weekly PTM #5
Fire Arcane RaiTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly PTM #5
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
35.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1093
· median 1093
· range 1093–1093
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1093
Q1 1265
Q3 1347
1490
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 49.6% | -0.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane Rai decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
